Maio 2021 vol. 8 num. 2 - V Encontro Nacional de Economia Industrial e Inovação
Artigo completo - Open Access.
Cadeias globais de valor e upgrading estrutural: uma análise a partir de componentes principais
Global value chains and structural upgrading: An analysis based on principal components
Costa, Kaio Vital da ;
Artigo completo:
As cadeias globais de valor (CGV) são cada vez mais vistas como parte do conjunto de ferramentas de política industrial, pois facilitam a entrada em mercados globais e as empresas multinacionais têm maiores incentivos para compartilhar conhecimento dentro de seus rede de produção. Fazendo uso de dados de insumo-produto internacionais para 43 países, este artigo investiga, utilizando análise de componentes principais e agrupamento de dados, como a participação dos países nas CGVs afeta o upgrading estrutural. Os resultados mostram que a complexidade estrutural possui uma relação positiva e estatisticamente significativa com a participação dos salários na renda e países mais intensivos em capital também apresentam maiores níveis de produtividade do trabalho e emprego associado às exportações. O estudo mostra ainda uma variedade de padrões de desenvolvimento relacionados à participação nas CGV, com cada grupo apresentando diferentes níveis de heterogeneidade.
Artigo completo:
Global value chains (GVCs) are increasingly seen as a part of the industrial policy toolkit as they facilitate the entry into global markets and MNEs have greater incentives to share knowledge within their production network. Making use of international input-output data for 43 countries, this paper investigates, using principal component analysis and cluster, how countries’ participation in GVCs affects structural upgrading. The results show that structural complexity has a positive and statistically significant relationship with the share of wages in income and more capital-intensive countries also have higher levels of labor productivity and employment associated with exports. The study also shows a variety of development patterns related to participation in GVC, with each group showing different levels of heterogeneity. System of National Accounts, both public sources.
Palavras-chave: cadeias globais de valor; upgrading industrial; insumo-produto,
Palavras-chave: global value chains; industrial upgrading; input-output analysis.,
DOI: 10.5151/v-enei-627
Referências bibliográficas
- [1] ARNDT, S. e KIERZKOWSKI, H. Fragmentation: New Production and Trade Patterns in the World Economy. Oxford University Press, Oxford, 200
- [2] BALDWIN, R. 21st Century Regionalism: Filling the gap between 21st century trade and 20th century trade rules. WTO Staff Working Paper, 2011.
- [3] BALDWIN, R. Global supply chains: why they emerged, why they matter, and where they are going. In: D.K. Elms e P. Low (eds), Global Value Chains in a Changing World, World Trade Organization, Fung Global Institute and Termasek Foundation Centre for Trade and Negotiations, Geneva, 201
- [4] BALDWIN, R. The Great Convergence: Information Technology and the New Globalization, Harvard University Press, Cambridge, MA, 2016.
- [5] BAUMOL, W. J. Macroeconomics of unbalanced growth: the anatomy of urban crisis. The American economic review, v. 57, n. 3, p. 415-426, 1967.
- [6] CHENERY, H. B.; WATANABE, T. International comparisons of the structure of production. Econometrica: Journal of the Econometric Society, p. 487-521, 1958.
- [7] CIMOLI, M. et al. Institutions and policies shaping industrial development: an introductory note. Lem Working paper series, 2006.
- [8] COLLIER, P.; VENABLES, A. J. Rethinking trade preferences: how Africa can diversify its exports. World Economy, v. 30, n. 8, p. 1326-1345, 2007.
- [9] COSTA, K. V.; CASTILHO, M.; ANYUL, M. P. Productive structure and the linkage effects in the era of global value chains: An input-output analysis. Revue d'economie industrielle, n. 3, p. 147-186, 2018.
- [10] European Commission. For a European Industrial Renaissance. Communication from the European Commission to the European Parliament, the Council, the European Economic and Social Committee and the Committee of the Regions, 2014. Disponível em: http://eur-lex.europa.eu/legal-content/EN/TXT/PDF/?uri=CELEX:52014DC0014&from=EN
- [11] GEREFFI, G. e STURGEON, T. Global value chains and industrial policy: The role of emerging economies. In: D.K. Elms and P. Low (eds), Global Value Chains in a Changing World, World Trade Organization, Fung Global Institute and Termasek Foundation Centre for Trade and Negotiations, Geneva, pp. 329-360, 2013.
- [12] GEREFFI, G; e FERNANDEZ-STARK, K. Global value chain analysis: a primer. Center on Globalization, Governance & Competitiveness (CGGC), Duke University, North Carolina, USA, 2011.
- [13] HAIR, J. F. et al. Multivariate data analysis. Upper Saddle River, NJ: Prentice hall, 1998.
- [14] HARAGUCHI, N., CHENG, C. F. e SMEETS, E. The importance of manufacturing in economic development: Has this changed?. World Development, v. 93, p. 293-315, 2017.
- [15] HAYTON, J. C.; ALLEN, D. G.; SCARPELLO, V. Factor retention decisions in exploratory factor analysis: A tutorial on parallel analysis. Organizational research methods, v. 7, n. 2, p. 191-205, 2004.
- [16] HAUSMANN, R. e KLINGER, B. Structural transformation and patterns of comparative advantage in the product space. 2006.
- [17] HIRSCHMAN, A. O. The strategy of economic development. 1958.
- [18] HOBDAY, M. Latecomer catch-up strategies in electronics: Samsung of Korea and ACER of Taiwan. Asia Pacific Business Review, v. 4, n. 2-3, p. 48-83, 1998.
- [19] HORNER, R. e NADVI, K. Global value chains and the rise of the Global South: unpacking twenty‐first century polycentric trade. Global Networks, v. 18, n. 2, p. 207-237, 2018.
- [20] HUMPHREY, J. e SCHMITZ, H. How does insertion in global value chains affect upgrading in industrial clusters?. Regional studies, v. 36, n. 9, p. 1017-1027, 2002.
- [21] JOHNSON, R. C.; NOGUERA, G. Accounting for intermediates: Production sharing and trade in value added. Journal of international Economics, v. 86, n. 2, p. 224-236, 2012.
- [22] KAISER, H. F. An index of factorial simplicity. Psychometrika, v. 39, n. 1, p. 31-36, 1974.
- [23] KALDOR, N. The role of increasing returns, technical progress, and cumulative causation in the theory of international trade and economic growth. Economie Appliquée: Archives de l'ISMEA, v. 34, n. 4, p. 593-617, 1981.
- [24] KAPLINSKY, R.; READMAN, J. Integrating SMEs in global value chains: towards partnership for development. Vienna: Unido, 2001.
- [25] KAPLINSKY, R. e FAROOKI, M. Global value chains, the crisis, and the shift of markets from north to south. Global Value Chains in a Postcrisis World; A Development Perspective, p. 125-154, 2010.
- [26] KUMMRITZ, V. Do global value chains cause industrial development?. The Graduate Institute of International and Development Studies, Centre for Trade and Economic Integration, 2016.
- [27] LALL, S. Technological capabilities and industrialization. World development, v. 20, n. 2, p. 165-186, 1992.
- [28] LÊ, S.; JOSSE, J.; HUSSON, F. FactoMineR: An R Package for Multivariate Analysis. Journal of Statistical Software, v. 25, p. 1-18, 2008.
- [29] LEWIS, W.A. Economic development with unlimited supplies of labour. The Manchester School of Economic and Social Studies, v. 22, n 2, pp. 139-191, 1954
- [30] McMILLAN, M. e RODRIK, D. Globalization, Structural Change and Productivity Growth. In: M. Bachetta and M. Jansen (eds), Making Globalization Socially Sustainable, International Labour Organization, Geneva, pp. 49-84, 2011.
- [31] MILBERG, W. e WINKLER, D. Outsourcing economics: global value chains in capitalist development. Cambridge University Press, 2013.
- [32] NAUDÉ, W. New Challenges for Industrial Policy. UNU-WIDER Working Paper, 2010/107.
- [33] NELSON, R. R. National innovation systems: a comparative analysis. Oxford University Press, 1993.
- [34] NORDHAUS, W. D. Baumol's diseases: a macroeconomic perspective. The BE Journal of Macroeconomics, v. 8, n. 1, 2008.
- [35] PENEDER, M. Industrial structure and aggregate growth. Structural change and economic dynamics, v. 14, n. 4, p. 427-448, 2003.
- [36] PIETROBELLI, C. e RABELLOTTI, R. Global value chains meet innovation systems: are there learning opportunities for developing countries?. World development, v. 39, n. 7, p. 1261-1269, 2011.
- [37] PONTE, S. e STURGEON, T. Explaining governance in global value chains: A modular theory-building effort. Review of International Political Economy, v. 21, n. 1, p. 195-223, 2014.
- [38] RODRIK, D. The real exchange rate and economic growth. Brookings papers on economic activity, v. 2008, n. 2, p. 365-412, 2008.
- [39] SMICHOWSKI, B. C.; DURAND, C.; KNAUSS, S. Participation in global value chains and varieties of development patterns. Cambridge Journal of Economics, 2020.
- [40] STURGEON, T. J. e MEMEDOVIĆ, O. Mapping global value chains: Intermediate goods trade and structural change in the world economy. United Nations Industrial Development Organization, 2011.
- [41] SZIRMAI, A. e VERSPAGEN, B. Manufacturing and economic growth in developing countries, 1950–2005. Structural change and economic dynamics, v. 34, p. 46-59, 2015.
- [42] SYRQUIN, M. Patterns of structural change. In: H.B. Chenery e T.N. Srinivasan (eds), Handbook of development economics, North-Holland, Amsterdam, pp. 203-273, 1988.
- [43] TAGLIONI, D. e WINKLER, D. Making Global Value Chains Work for Development. Trade and Development. Washington, DC: World Bank, 2016.
- [44] TIMMER, M. P.; SZIRMAI, A. Productivity growth in Asian manufacturing: the structural bonus hypothesis examined. Structural change and economic dynamics, v. 11, n. 4, p. 371-392, 2000.
- [45] WANG, Z. et al. Measures of participation in global value chains and global business cycles. National Bureau of Economic Research, 2017.
- [46] WHITTAKER, D. H. et al. Compressed development. Studies in Comparative International Development, v. 45, n. 4, p. 439-467, 2010.
Como citar:
Costa, Kaio Vital da; "Cadeias globais de valor e upgrading estrutural: uma análise a partir de componentes principais", p. 193-210 . In: Anais do V Encontro Nacional de Economia Industrial e Inovação (ENEI): “Inovação, Sustentabilidade e Pandemia”.
São Paulo: Blucher,
2021.
ISSN 2357-7592,
DOI 10.5151/v-enei-627
últimos 30 dias | último ano | desde a publicação
downloads
visualizações
indexações